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live news → direct + nth-order signals · US + Canada (723 names: 503 US / 220 TSX) · standalone paper book vs Hold-XIU · US regular · TSX regular (2026-10-05 15:06 EDT) · updated 2026-10-05 15:05 ET · research, signal-only.
Paper equity · since 2026-06-13 · 115 trading days
$733 -26.7%
behind Hold-XIU by $287 · XIU +2.0%
paper only
net 0.25%/side
News sleeve Hold-XIU
Open theses0
Resolved1415
Hits441 / 1415
Conviction signal✓ 2.4/2.4

Open theses

0 live
No open theses right now. The sleeve stays in cash when no unpriced chain clears the bar.

Hit-rate scoreboard

resolved only
By order-depth
1°341 / 1100
2°84 / 263
3°15 / 49
4°1 / 3
By chain-type
capital-flow21 / 64
competitor21 / 70
demand-shock10 / 49
direct-catalyst331 / 1068
geo-policy18 / 53
input-demand25 / 58
substitution1 / 9
supply-cost5 / 12
supply-shock9 / 32
"Hit" = direction right AND the predicted magnitude met within the horizon. Marks are net of an assumed 0.25%/side spread+slippage. Long-only (Wealthsimple $1k = no easy shorting); down-theses are logged & scored for calibration but not paper-traded. State written daily by news_sleeve.py after the close — this page only reads it. Research, not advice.